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Building Bridges: CIROH–Penn State Collaboration Formalizes Differentiable Modeling for NRDS

· 6 min read
Leo Lonzarich
Graduate Researcher
Quinn Lee
Programmer Analyst
Josh Cunningham
Software Engineer
Arpita Patel
Assistant Director of DevOps and IT
James Halgren
Assistant Director of Science

Almost from the start, 2025 has been a banner year in hydrologic modeling, with advancements in capabilities on both sides of the aisle of CIROH's research-to-operations (R2O) pipeline.

  • From the research skunkworks, Penn State's MHPI group, led by Dr. Chaopeng Shen introduced a new generation of distributed, differentiable hydrologic models spearheaded by δHBV 2.0. Capable of high-resolution, continental-scale streamflow forecasting across the CONUS Hydrofabric, δHBV 2.0 fuses process-based modeling and machine learning to enable efficient parameter calibration and interpretable predictions at scale -- with demonstrated viability as a National Water Model 3.0 successor.